Archive - 2014

1
Possible End of Great 30 Year Bond Bull Market?
2
As Inflation Fears Fade, Deflation Moves Front and Center
3
Coordinating Social Security Benefits in Matters of Divorce and Remarriage
4
Will Another Crash in the Greece and EU Create a Huge Stock Crash?
5
Want to Invest in the New Year? Consult a Fee-Only Financial Advisor

Possible End of Great 30 Year Bond Bull Market?

 

In yesterday’s post I mentioned an intriguing article by Doug Kass where he expected things to get worse in the EU in 2015 and that the crisis would result in a loss of confidence in the EU’s Central Bank led by Draghi which would result in rising global interest rates. This goes against my theory that a crisis creates a crowding-in phenomena where those who seek safe assets have no choice but to overcrowd into the lifeboats of sovereign debt issued by “print & pay” G7 countries that issue debt in their own currencies and the overcrowding ironically makes …

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As Inflation Fears Fade, Deflation Moves Front and Center

As the Federal Reserve winds down its massive bond-buying program, the widely predicted after effects — rising interest rates and inflation — have thus far failed to materialize. The yield on the bond market’s bellwether 10-year Treasury note, which started 2014 at 3.03%, had fallen to 2.33% as of October 29.1 Similarly, inflation, as measured by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics key benchmark, the Consumer Price Index, has risen just 1.7% in the past year and has averaged 1.6% since the Fed first initiated its bond-buying program four years ago.2

Currently, concerns over inflation have been replaced …

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Coordinating Social Security Benefits in Matters of Divorce and Remarriage

divorce throws a curve

Photo courtesy of Bec Brown via Unsplash.com.

Social Security has a way of making decisions very difficult. In the simplest of circumstances, the choices can be tough. But what if you’re in a tough spot, such as if you’re divorced and now involved with someone else, considering remarriage? Social Security benefits in matters of divorce can become very complicated.

The Decisions

Social Security benefits can be taken as early as age 62. You can also delay taking benefits to any age after you’ve reached age 62. Delaying to your full retirement age will result in a larger benefit, but …

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Will Another Crash in the Greece and EU Create a Huge Stock Crash?

Today there were two advisors posting bearish articles. Doug Kass mentioned in his predictions for 2015 that the EU’s Central Bank led by Draghi might lose credibility and this would finally end the 30 year bond bull market and that Japan’s Abe would also fail to fix their economy and would resign. Then Peter Atwater ran a story about Greece possibly defaulting which he said would be a Bears, Stearns type of event.

I disagree. Yes, I am bearish, but I don’t think these two people are correct. The EU nations have a tremendous desire to make the EU work …

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Want to Invest in the New Year? Consult a Fee-Only Financial Advisor

stock investmentIf starting to invest or improving your investment portfolio is among your goals for the new year, consider the experience on investor outlined in the Washington Post. Rather than look at one of his investing triumphs, Chris Mayer, author and the founder and editor of “Capital & Crisis,” a value investment newsletter, chose instead to examine the misstep he made with that he considers his worst investment. While we champion doing your research, Mayer writes that “No matter how much you love it, no matter how much you checked it out, no matter how safe it seems, you should… Read More

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